Backtesting Guide
This page explains how to test Orion Gold Scalper yourself in MetaTrader. It does not publish fixed win rates, profit factors, or guaranteed historical returns — those depend on your data, broker model, spreads, and settings.
Use the performance evaluation page for what to judge on demo, and read the risk disclosure before going live.
What a useful backtest needs
- Your broker’s XAU/USD symbol (including any suffix)
- Realistic spreads / commissions for the account type you will use
- Enough history to cover quiet and volatile gold periods
- Settings you would actually run — see the settings guide
- Demo confirmation after the tester — fills and news spikes differ live
How to run a backtest (MT4)
Step 1: Prepare historical data
- Use quality XAU/USD history from your broker or MetaTrader’s data tools
- Check for large gaps before trusting results
- Prefer longer samples over a single “perfect” month
Step 2: Open Strategy Tester
- Press Ctrl+R or go to View → Strategy Tester
- Select Orion Gold Scalper from the Expert Advisor list
- Choose your gold symbol
- Pick a scalping timeframe you plan to use (often M1 / M5 / M15)
Step 3: Configure the test
- Period: enough history to include different regimes
- Model: Every tick when you need higher fidelity (slower)
- Deposit / leverage: match how you intend to trade
- Inputs: start from documented defaults, then change one variable at a time
Step 4: Run and review
Click Start, then review the report and equity curve. Treat the numbers as a relative check of settings and data quality — not a promise of live results.
Metrics worth reading (without targets)
- Profit factor — gross profit ÷ gross loss; sensitive to a few large trades
- Maximum drawdown — peak-to-trough stress; decide what you can tolerate
- Win rate — alone is meaningless without average win vs loss
- Trade count — too few trades makes any metric noisy
- Equity shape — smooth vs jagged tells you more than a single percentage
There is no universal “good” win rate for gold scalping. Compare runs under your own constraints.
Backtesting limitations
- Past data does not guarantee future performance
- Fixed-spread models understate news and session spikes on gold
- Slippage, requotes, and VPS latency are often missing from tester results
- Over-fitting settings to one period usually fails out of sample
Always confirm on a demo account with your broker before risking capital. See strategies and installation.
External resources
Ready to test on your data?
Download the MT4 package, run Strategy Tester, then validate on demo.